If everyone got a basic income, would they flourish or check out?: Austrian school
New to monetary policy
The Sunday that changed everything
August 15, 1971. Nixon suspended dollar-to-gold convertibility. Sunday evening. Television address. No consultation with the IMF. He called it temporary. It has been fifty-five years. Every conversation about basic income takes place inside the monetary regime that Sunday created. Nobody mentions it.
We have been warning about this since 1912. The response has been the same for a century: polite bewilderment, then the next crisis, the next expansion, the next round of concentration nobody can explain.
Every UBI proposal ends at the same question: where does $3.1 trillion come from? The advocates say taxes and program consolidation. The pragmatists say a smaller, targeted version. Neither survives political reality. Taxes sufficient to fund UBI have never been enacted in any democracy. The pragmatists’ version still requires revenue Congress prefers to borrow. And borrowing means the Fed accommodates the debt by expanding the money supply. This is what happened in 2020. Congress spent $5.2 trillion. The Fed’s balance sheet swelled to $9 trillion. Grocery prices rose 15 percent. The checks bought less than they were worth by the time they were spent.
The Cantillon effect operates whether the spending is called stimulus, relief, or basic income. New money reaches financial institutions first. They buy assets. Prices rise. The guaranteed income becomes a guaranteed transfer from every dollar holder’s future purchasing power.
Every economic system rests on physical foundations. A monetary system that creates claims without limit makes every allocation political. UBI completes the process. It takes the most intimate economic relationship — labor for sustenance — and places it entirely within the gift of the state.
Where we concede ground: The suffering UBI addresses is real. A family that cannot afford daycare needs help now, not after a monetary reformation.
What would change our mind: A UBI funded entirely through taxation — no deficits, no monetary expansion — showing no inflation or concentration increase over a decade.
Read the full synthesis: If everyone got a basic income, would they flourish or check out?