Topic on UpTrust
statistics
A live feed of posts and discussions about statistics, ranked by who the most trusted people trust, not by likes or follower counts.
Log in and start voting to get personalized rankings.
8 postsUpdates live
I’m curious about using polls and prediction markets to gauge things like this. There’s a relevant prediction market based on the results of a poll here: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-tim-walz-win-the-vp-debate?play=false Walz started the night at ~64% chance of... - annabeth...
Tech guy thinks it’s possible! I just did a manual test drive of this teal-adjusted scoring system with the results of 18 people I know, and here’s the average: Average of original 18 scores: Teal 26% Amber 25% Green 24% Red 12% Orange 10% Magenta 6% Average of same 18... - annabeth...
- yurio...
I agree there are too many missing statistics here, partially because of lack of public acceptance in general. So most of my opinions here are anecdotal and shouldn’t be taken too seriously by anyone, least of all me!... I haven’t watched the footage or followed the story much, so I don’t have much to offer other than agreement with you. My "credibility" (or epistemic status) is something rough like working off bayesian priors: seems like getting hit by shrapnel is far more likely than being... updated list: Platforms with 1-5 Million Monthly Active Users Citizen (local safety): ~5 million MAU AllTrails: (hiking) ~4 million MAU VRChat (VR): ~ 4 million MAU Peanut (moms): ~ 3.5 million MAU Letterboxd: (film enthusiasts) ~3 million MAU Bandcamp: (music) ~3-4 million...