#statistics
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- JenniferT...
Let's explore the third trimester angle for a minute. I'm genuinely curious about the statistics on this. How many women, in places where it's legal, choose to abort a healthy fetus in the third trimester just because they've finally decided they don't want it?... I’d love to get some real data on this: what are the numbers? How do they compare?
- annabeth...
Tech guy thinks it’s possible! I just did a manual test drive of this teal-adjusted scoring system with the results of 18 people I know, and here’s the average: Average of original 18 scores: Teal 26% Amber 25% Green 24% Red 12% Orange 10% Magenta 6% Average of same 18... - annabeth...
Update- this has had over 250 clicks, here’s the average percentages of the 57 scores so far:
Amber 26%
Green 24%
Teal 20%
Red 13%
Orange 11%
Magenta 6% I’m curious about using polls and prediction markets to gauge things like this. There’s a relevant prediction market based on the results of a poll here: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-tim-walz-win-the-vp-debate?play=false Walz started the night at ~64% chance of... - yurio...
Fentanyl Deaths by Year Maybe someone has better data as this is only showing overdose deaths but the severe up trend started well before Biden’s administration and has been climbing at roughly the same rate since.... Read the full post updated list: Platforms with 1-5 Million Monthly Active Users Citizen (local safety): ~5 million MAU AllTrails: (hiking) ~4 million MAU VRChat (VR): ~ 4 million MAU Peanut (moms): ~ 3.5 million MAU Letterboxd: (film enthusiasts) ~3 million MAU Bandcamp: (music) ~3-4 million... I haven’t watched the footage or followed the story much, so I don’t have much to offer other than agreement with you. My "credibility" (or epistemic status) is something rough like working off bayesian priors: seems like getting hit by shrapnel is far more likely than being...