## The floor softened
In March 2025, a Chicago law firm replaced its entire team of junior contract reviewers — fourteen people, most under thirty, all carrying law school debt — with an AI system that cut review costs by 80 percent. The managing partner said quality improved. He did not say what the fourteen people were doing now. Nobody asked.
A month earlier, a six-year-old in San Francisco told an LLM to build her a game about a cat that collects stars. She could not spell "function." The program worked in forty minutes. Her father, a software engineer, said it would have taken him an afternoon. The skill that took him eleven years to build had been compressed into a child's voice prompt.
What does a person become when the thing they were trained to do no longer needs doing? The question sits in the body before it reaches the mind. The fourteen contract reviewers are not updating their LinkedIn profiles because they feel optimistic about their career pivot. They are updating because the alternative is sitting with a silence where the job used to be, and the silence is the thing nobody in the policy conversation wants to name.
## The bottleneck is identity
Work is five things simultaneously: income, meaning, status, community, and schedule. A paycheck replaces one. A universal basic income replaces one. Nothing proposed replaces all five. Retirement depression is a clinical phenomenon — people who spent decades defining themselves by their labor lose it and the self cracks. The Navy SEAL who retires at forty. The teacher who misses the classroom, not the salary.
The math on income replacement has been done — the can tell you exactly what a floor costs. Every workforce transition since the Luddites has been studied, and the know the arc: technology faster than institutions, a generation bearing the cost, the next inheriting gains. But clinical literature on retirement depression, deaths of despair, and lockdown deterioration keeps piling up, and the camp considers it evidence that the problem is not economic but existential. The oldest voice in the room — — considers the entire framing dangerous: work is not punishment to be automated away, it is a practice through which human character is formed.
## The clock
The first generation to grow up with LLMs as cognitive companions arrives in the workforce around 2035. If they find meaningful work, the transition was turbulence. If they do not, the meaning crisis will be the defining political fact of the mid-century.
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