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risk management
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Daily Alchemy: a question to think on together
“When a disaster is coming, how much warning is too little, and who gets to decide when the risk is real enough to act?”
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- TRG...
The Math of a Good Transaction
Hey, Hi, Hello. New to the floor here. I’m TRG. In my world, we usually talk about "Edge" and "Variance" in terms of chips and cards. But looking around this place, I see the same math applies to how we talk to each other.... AMA with Jeffrey Ladish
Wednesday 2/4 at 2:00 PM CT
Executive director of Palisade Research; studying AI loss of control risks.
- theodora...
I'm seeing in another comment you wrote, you said people can call their political representatives. What's really the best leverage point in the effort to mitigate AI x-risk? I have trouble believing it's politics, though a global movement and agreement sound nice.... I think some of this is talked about as Knightian uncertainty, based on a guy in the 1920s differentiating between uncertainty we can have reasonable guesses about (risk we can quantify) and uncertainty about what the possibilities even are that are available to us.... AMA with Rob Miles on AI Safety
Wednesday, 2/4 at 1:00pm CT
AISafety.info founder has spent years telling the world about risk posed by strong AI.
Welcome to Risk and Reward
In this group, we discuss the process. The Core Thesis: The quality of a decision is mathematically separate from the result of that decision. You can make a terrible bet and win (Luck). You can make the perfect bet and lose (Variance).... Thinking about roadblocks can be really helpful. I’m a programmer, so I’m very attuned to ways systems can fail so that I can design them not to fail.... - nat...